General Forecast

Interactive forecast tracker with advanced simulator, marginal seats, confidence ranges, change log, sources and bilingual view.

Forecast mode

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How this forecast was deduced

Overall + seat-by-seat method

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2026F PH
28
Largest bloc, 1 seat short of majority.
2026F BN
24
Auto-nowcast: BN 24 seats.
2026F PN/PAS/BERSATU
4
Aggregate card; charts split BERSATU separately.
Majority line
29
36-seat Negri Sembilan Assembly.

Most probable government formation

Current political situation

Daily prediction chart

PH BN PN/PAS BERSATU BERSAMA MUDA Others 19-seat majority

2026 forecast chart

PH BN PN/PAS BERSATU BERSAMA MUDA Others Votes Seats

Confidence range

Low / midpoint / high

News highlights & voter sentiment

Auto-updated by Genie AI

Updates behind the latest forecast

Why the model moved to PH 28 | BN 24 | PN/PAS 1 | BERSATU 3 | BERSAMA 0 | MUDA 0

Forecast change log